AFC Championship: Best Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens prop bets

afc championship: best kansas city chiefs vs. baltimore ravens prop bets

Sep 10, 2023; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. (3) reacts after a reception against the Houston Texans during the second half at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Ravens (14-4) welcome the Kansas City Chiefs (13-6) to M&T Bank Stadium Sunday for the AFC Championship Game. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s AFC Championship Game prop bet odds, and tab the 5 best Chiefs vs. Ravens bets among SportsbookWire’s expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Ravens finished with the NFL’s best regular-season record and is the top seed in the AFC. They’ll be coming in as the favorites and at near-full strength. Baltimore beat the Houston Texans 34-10 in the Divisional Round, covering as a 10-point home favorite.

The Chiefs went 3-3 straight up (SU) and 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in their final 6 regular-season contests. They beat the Miami Dolphins 26-7 as 4.5-point home favorites in the Wild Card round and squeaked past the Buffalo Bills 27-24 as 2.5-point road underdogs last week in a Divisional playoff game.

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Best AFC Championship Game prop bets

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:10 p.m. ET.

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes UNDER 243.5 passing yards (-110)

Mahomes is a star and arguably the best QB in the NFL, but he has gone Under this mark in 2 of his last 4 games and had just 245 in Week 17 home win (25-17) against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Baltimore ranks 4th in opponents’ completion percentage (60.4%) and 1st in opponents’ average team passer rating (74.5), per Teamrankings.com. The Ravens can tame Mahomes. BACK UNDER 243.5 (-110) here.

Ravens WR Odell Beckham Jr. OVER 22.5 receiving yards (-110)

Beckham Jr. isn’t the most-targeted receiver for the Ravens, but he’s also good for one game-changing play. He has gone Over this total in 6 of his last 9 games.

The goal for Kansas City should be to stop the Ravens potent run game, which could free up plenty of 1-on-1 matchups or zone coverage for Beckham Jr. Expect him to exceed this line.

Ravens TE Mark Andrews UNDER 35.5 receiving yards (-110)

Andrews hasn’t played since he and Bengals QB Joe Burrow both went down with season-ending injuries Nov. 16. Thankfully, Andrews has been able to make a return, but he missed the team’s 1st playoff game.

The amount he’s used is still unknown, and while he’s still a premier TE, he only had more than 4 receptions in 4 of the 10 games he played this season. Against a defense with linebackers like the Ravens, expect his usefulness to be limited.

Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco OVER 63.5 rushing yards (-110)

Pacheco has been the star of the show for the Chiefs offense, which is typically spearheaded by Mahomes. Pacheco has gone Over this total in 3 straight games and in 4 of his last 5. In the 2 playoff wins, he went for 97 yards against Buffalo and 89 against Miami.

He’s also averaging 19.5 carries per game in the playoffs. The Ravens will want to take Mahomes away which could free up Pacheco for a heavy workload. Back his Over.

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Chiefs 2nd-half winner (+132)

The Chiefs are a championship-caliber team and know when to turn it on. They outscored the Bills on the road 14-7 in the second half. Kansas City ranked 6th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversation rate (42.9%).

As they figure the defense out, the Chiefs should be able to march, and that might not be until the 2nd half. Expect the Chiefs to start slow and push the Ravens’ defense in the final 30.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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This article originally appeared on USA Today Sportsbookwire: AFC Championship: Best Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens prop bets

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