nfl odds, vegas lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for week 7, 2021: model loving patriots, lions
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San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (85) during Super Bowl LIV against the Kansas City Chiefs at Hard Rock Stadium.

The Week 7 NFL schedule only features two divisional games, as the Ravens host the Bengals in a critical AFC North matchup, while the Patriots will host the Jets. The Ravens are 6.5-point home favorites in the latest NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Patriots are laying a touchdown. Can the home favorites hold off their division rivals, and which sign of the line should you back with your Week 7 NFL bets?

Meanwhile, the latest Week 7 NFL spreads list the Buccaneers as 12.5-point home favorites as they host the up-and-down Bears in a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff. The Buccaneers are a disappointing 2-4 against the spread this season, so can they cover a big number against a .500 team with wins over winning teams like the Bengals and Raiders? All of the Week 7 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 7 NFL picks now. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,700 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on an incredible 125-85 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 7 NFL odds from Caesars and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 7 NFL predictions

One of the model’s strongest Week 7 NFL picks is that the Patriots (-7) cover the spread against the Jets in 60 percent of simulations. It’s been a slog for Bill Belichick since Tom Brady left for the Buccaneers, with New England going 7-9 last season and off to a 2-4 start in 2021. However, the Patriots have taken two of the best teams in the NFL to the wire and also collected a needed win over the Texans in the last three weeks.

The Patriots hosted Brady in Week 4 and were an upright away from winning outright as 6.5-point underdogs. Then they took the Cowboys to overtime. Meanwhile, the Jets have given up 880 yards the last two weeks and haven’t put up more than 355 yards of total offense in a game all season.

New England has covered the spread in seven of its last 10 against the Jets. Mac Jones is clearly the more developed of the two rookie quarterbacks at this point and the model predicts two more interceptions from Zach Wilson as the Patriots cover in nearly 60 percent of simulations.

Another one of the model’s Week 7 NFL predictions: The Lions (+15) cover against the Rams well over 50 percent of the time. The Lions are 0-6 on the season, but they’ve only lost by more than 10 points twice and are 3-3 against the spread.

Since Sean McVay took over in 2017, the Rams have been favored by 13.5 points or more on four occasions and have only covered once. Most recently, they were favored by 17 against the Jets last December and only wound up winning by three while struggling to move the ball against a 1-13 team. The Rams went just 2-for-11 on third downs in that contest and the Lions actually have one of the better third-down defenses in the NFL.

Detroit only allows opponents to convert on 35.9 percent of their third-down opportunities, ranking 11th. The Lions have also forced seven turnovers this year (13th in the league) and the model sees them forcing at least one on Sunday to help slow the Rams down. That’s a big reason why they cover the spread in over 50 percent of simulations and why the under (50.5) hits well over 50 percent of the time.

How to make Week 7 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 7 NFL schedule, and it’s calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,700 since its inception, and find out.

Week 7 NFL odds, spreads, lines

Sunday, Oct. 24

Bengals at Ravens (-6.5, 47)

Featured Game| Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals MoneylineSpreadTotal BAL -280 BET NOW -6.5-105BET NOW o46-110BET NOW CIN +230 BET NOW +6.5-115BET NOW u46-110BET NOW

Panthers at Giants (+3, 43)

Featured Game| New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers MoneylineSpreadTotal NYG +130 BET NOW +3-120BET NOW o42.5-110BET NOW CAR -150 BET NOW -3+100BET NOW u42.5-110BET NOW

Washington at Packers (-7.5, 49)

Featured Game| Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Football Team MoneylineSpreadTotal GB -400 BET NOW -8-110BET NOW o47.5-110BET NOW WAS +310 BET NOW +8-110BET NOW u47.5-110BET NOW

Chiefs at Titans (+5.5, 57.5)

Featured Game| Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs MoneylineSpreadTotal TEN +175 BET NOW +4-110BET NOW o57.5-110BET NOW KC -210 BET NOW -4-110BET NOW u57.5-110BET NOW

Falcons at Dolphins (+2.5, 47.5)

Featured Game| Miami Dolphins vs. Atlanta Falcons MoneylineSpreadTotal MIA +110 BET NOW +2.5-115BET NOW o47.5-110BET NOW ATL -130 BET NOW -2.5-105BET NOW u47.5-110BET NOW

Jets at Patriots (-7, 42.5)

Featured Game| New England Patriots vs. New York Jets MoneylineSpreadTotal NE -330 BET NOW -7-105BET NOW o42.5-110BET NOW NYJ +260 BET NOW +7-115BET NOW u42.5-110BET NOW

Lions at Rams (-15, 50.5)

Featured Game| Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions MoneylineSpreadTotal LAR -1100 BET NOW -16.5-110BET NOW o50.5-110BET NOW DET +700 BET NOW +16.5-110BET NOW u50.5-110BET NOW

Eagles at Raiders (-3, 49.5)

Featured Game| Las Vegas Raiders vs. Philadelphia Eagles MoneylineSpreadTotal LV -150 BET NOW -3+100BET NOW o48.5-110BET NOW PHI +130 BET NOW +3-120BET NOW u48.5-110BET NOW

Bears at Buccaneers (-12.5, 47)

Featured Game| Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears MoneylineSpreadTotal TB -700 BET NOW -11.5-110BET NOW o47-110BET NOW CHI +475 BET NOW +11.5-110BET NOW u47-110BET NOW

Texans at Cardinals (-17.5, 47.5)

Featured Game| Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans MoneylineSpreadTotal ARI -1700 BET NOW -18-110BET NOW o47.5-110BET NOW HOU +900 BET NOW +18-110BET NOW u47.5-110BET NOW

Colts at 49ers (-4, 44)

Featured Game| San Francisco 49ers vs. Indianapolis Colts MoneylineSpreadTotal SF -200 BET NOW -4-110BET NOW o43-110BET NOW IND +170 BET NOW +4-110BET NOW u43-110BET NOW

Monday, Oct. 25

Saints at Seahawks (+4.5, 42.5)

Featured Game| Seattle Seahawks vs. New Orleans Saints MoneylineSpreadTotal SEA +190 BET NOW +4-110BET NOW o42.5-110BET NOW NO -230 BET NOW -4-110BET NOW u42.5-110BET NOW

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