Oil prices advance, Wall Street stocks set new records

The Dow and Nasdaq set fresh record highs on Wednesday

Oil prices rose back above $80 per barrel on Wednesday as the threat of attacks keeps ships out of the Red Sea, while Wall Street stocks set fresh record highs.

Wall Street’s main stock indices opened lower after the Dow closed Tuesday at a fifth-straight record high amid a spate of profit-taking.

But they swung higher after US consumer confidence climbed sharply in December, reflecting mounting optimism for the future.

The Dow was marginally higher in late-morning trading, but that was enough to push it to a new high. The tech-heavy Nasdaq also set a new record high.

Stocks have rallied since October as slowing inflation fuels expectations by investors that central banks, which hiked interest rates to get a grip on rising prices, will be able to begin cutting them next year.

The rally has also been premised on the US economy making a soft landing — meaning it would avoid a recession, and the consumer confidence reading adds to a slew of data that comforts expectations that a contraction in activity will be avoided.

The advances come even as central bank officials try to push back against expectations, which have set markets up for a healthy end-of-year rally.

The next key event this week will be the release on Friday of the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which is the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation.

The reading’s fall in recent months, along with consumer prices and a slowing jobs market, has been among the main reasons Fed decision-makers are feeling confident that they are on the right track.

Still, they are trying to prevent investors getting ahead of themselves by tempering expectations.

In Europe, Frankfurt and Paris stocks ended little changed, but London’s FTSE 100 rose by 1.0 percent after data showed UK inflation slowed in November to 3.9 percent — the lowest rate since September 2021.

Britain has had the most stubborn inflation and the data sparked speculation the Bank of England could now decide to start cutting interest rates next year, having lifted them to a 15-year peak of 5.25 percent in order to bring down inflation from double digits.

However, concerns persist after core inflation — which strips out food and energy costs — eased only slightly to stand at 5.2 percent in November.

“The FTSE 100 has enjoyed a welcome boost, with markets reacting to a surprise slump in UK CPI that lifted expectations for a May rate cut from the BoE,” said Scope Markets analyst Joshua Mahony.

Asian stocks mostly rallied after another record Wall Street performance Tuesday.

Oil prices extended their recent rally, which was fuelled by companies suspending transit via the Red Sea owing to attacks on cargo ships by Yemen’s Iran-backed Huthi rebels in solidarity with Gaza.

According to the International Chamber of Shipping, a London-based trade association for shipping firms, 12 percent of global trade passes through the Red Sea.

Moving around Africa can add a week to travel between Asia and Europe, causing supply chain disruptions and raising transportation costs.

But OANDA analyst Craig Erlam said the rebound could also reflect expectations of a drop in interest rates next year.

“With markets pricing in so many rate cuts now, that could boost the global economy next year and by extension demand,” he said.

– Key figures around 1630 GMT –

New York – Dow: UP less than 0.1 percent at 37,586.87 points

London – FTSE 100: UP 1.0 percent at 7,715.68 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.1 percent at 7,583.43 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN less than 0.1 percent at 16,733.05 (close)

EURO STOXX 50: FLAT at 4,533.82 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.4 percent at 33,675.94 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.7 percent at 16,613.81 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 1.0 percent at 2,902.11 (close)

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0969 from $1.0981 on Tuesday

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 143.75 yen from 143.84 yen

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2676 from $1.2732

Euro/pound: UP at 86.55 pence from 86.24 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 1.5 percent at $75.01 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: UP 1.4 percent at $80.31 per barrel

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